July 1st isn’t just Canada Day—it also serves as a pivotal checkpoint for assessing how 2025 has unfolded so far and what might be coming in the months ahead.
Canada’s real estate market remains shaped by economic uncertainty, fluctuating interest rates, and global trade tensions. However, a recent rise in existing home sales suggests a more positive shift may be underway.1
Whether you’re considering buying a home, selling, or simply evaluating your next steps, understanding today’s market is essential. In this comprehensive market update, we examine four key factors influencing today's housing market and provide actionable strategies for navigating these evolving conditions.
MARKET REMAINS SUBDUED, BUT THERE ARE EARLY SIGNS OF RECOVERY
After declining in the first part of the year—primarily due to market uncertainty and an ongoing trade dispute with the U.S.—Canadian home sales rose 3.6% between April and May, marking the first monthly gain in national activity since November 2024, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).2,3 This subtle but significant uptick was largely driven by increased sales in Toronto, Calgary, and Ottawa.3
“May 2025 not only saw home sales move higher at the national level for the first time in more than six months, but prices at the national level also stopped falling,” said CREA Senior Economist Shaun Cathcart. “It’s only one month of data … but there is a sense that maybe the expected turnaround in housing activity this year was just delayed for a few months by the initial tariff chaos and uncertainty.”3
What it means for you: While it's too early to declare a full rebound, this shift could signal renewed momentum heading into the summer and fall. Buyers may want to act before prices begin to climb again, while sellers should be prepared for a potentially more competitive market in the months ahead. I can help you assess the right time to make a move.
FIXED MORTGAGE RATES OFFER SOME STABILITY
Heading into the second half of 2025,...